Jerry Jones

The aircraft is at 25,475 ft, heading 142°, with candidate LFMN at bearing 109° (Δhdg 33°) — slightly off-track but the closest large airport (75 nm), and the plane will likely turn to align. Despite Δhdg exceeding the 25° strict-alignment threshold, LFMN appears repeatedly in recent flights (five times in the last month) and is a known Mediterranean hub for this aircraft after trips to/from Italian strips. Past predictions often missed LFMN (e.g., 2026-06-09 guessed LEMD but actual LFMN), so I am biasing toward the actual pattern. Speed and altitude suggest final approach is imminent; IT-0201 (460 nm, Δhdg 29°) is a secondary off-track option but less likely given the short remaining distance to Nice.