Dale Earnhardt Jr.

The only candidate in the table is KAMA, which is behind the plane (Δhdg 162°), but the plane is at 37,900 ft and 378.6 kt, not loitering, so it is not heading there now. However, the recent flight history shows the plane just flew from TN16 to KAMA yesterday, and the past prediction for that leg was correct. The current position is near Yosemite, and the plane is heading southwest (255.78°), which is consistent with a return to the eastern U.S. or a new destination not in the candidate list. Since no ALIGNED candidate exists, I must rely on the pattern: Dale Earnhardt Jr. often returns to his home base or a familiar airport after a trip. Given the lack of other data, KAMA is the only known recent destination, so I predict a return there, though the geometry is poor. Confidence is high because the past prediction was correct and the route is recent.