Michael Saylor

Aircraft is on the ground at KIAD (taxi speed 61.5 kt, heading 0.57° north). No ALIGNED candidate in the table because the plane has not yet turned; after departure it will likely head toward a northeastern destination. Recent history shows KIAD→KTEB on May 21, and a northward track matches that route. Past prediction for this exact departure incorrectly guessed EGLF, so I correct toward the actual KTEB. KFRG is another NY-area alternate; KBWI is nearby and was used yesterday. Confidence is moderate because the plane has not yet committed to a turn.